As President Jakaya Kikwete present recommendations reached at the two-day meeting between Africa and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) held in Dar es Salaam last week, learning from previous G8 or G20 meetings, it is time for these 20 countries to honour their pledges. We know that Africa is now viewed as target for all obvious reason.
Finance ministers of 20 rich countries promised money over the weekend to rescue troubled emerging market economies arguing that they will use their full fiscal and monetary firepower to combat the worst downturn of 1930s. Among other issues discussed were how to regulate and start on closer checks on credit rating agencies to prevent a repeat of a financial markets crisis that is crippling business and putting million of people out of employment.
These ministers did promise to deliver the scale of what they described as sustained effort necessary to restore growth that would see extra money for IMF and regional lenders. Although no figure was published, one looks at the $250bn IMF’s disposal to help counties hit by a halt to credit and investment. Is Africa a variable in that equation?
Nonetheless, such measures tells us that massive change is about to take place in financial market regulations, notably supervision of areas currently only lightly regulated. But while these measures are vital to kick start the economy (ies) there are few spot that trouble my mind including issues of protectionism and trading as equal partners. Issues such as what will be a scale public spending that would support activities? What type of disclose information needed to keep tabs on risk? What is the top priority now? Get lending flowing normal again or re-working to help countries especially those of Africa achieve their millennium goals? We have to remember when these goals were set no one anticipated the current economic crisis. Is the G20 going to do something about that?
Finance Ministers and those few African leaders including our President Dr. Jakaya Mrisho Kikwete who have been invited to table their country’s business cases at the Lancaster House will be told, I presume, were now on the right track ahead of G20 summit. My concern is what commitment that the 20 largest economies in the world going to stand on to do whatever necessary for as long as it is necessary to assist Africa get out of its poverty? Are these invited leaders have a checklist of areas of concern and priority areas that can be used to demonstrate or criticize such commitment in the next G20 in 2010?
God bless Africa
God bless Tanzania
Hildebrand Shayo
du, sawa kijana wetu, tunajua huwezi ukaalikwa kwa vile hakuna anayejali vijimichango kama unayotoa.
ReplyDeleteIla kitu kimoja umenifurahisha mwanangu ni kuwa ni vigezo gani vitumike kujipima kama hawa jamaa wanatusaidia au kutulaghai tu
Mdau toka Brazil
Theodul peter
Ina staajabisha sana kuangalia ambavyo nchi masikini zinatoa shinikizo kupata uhakika wa misaada toka kwa nchi zilizoendelea ambazo zipo matatani kiuchumi. Hata kwenye usafiri wa anga huwa wanasema kuwa itokeapo dharura, jiwekee kipumlio cha hewa ya oxygen kabla ya kumsaidia mtu mwingine. Sasa hapa naona nchi masikini zina wakalia kooni nchi tajiri ambazo hata hazijajiwekea oxygen. Umasikini mbaya... hata kuomba hatujui.
ReplyDeleteMy friend Dr.Shayo!
ReplyDeleteThere is no golden bullet when it come to African poverty. Since your economist i total believe your aware of all actions that western nation had tried to eradicate poverty in Africa, but yet the results are ridiculous. You remember during 1980s the IMF/WB introduced ERP/SAP which lasted for 20 years, before they realized SAP is not working. Then they introduced PRSP which became the substitute of SAP, but yet the results is the same. Now we do have MDG/MKUKUTA ( NSGRP)which will not work.
Mpaka Tanzania tutakapo amua kuandaa mfumo wetu wa kupigana na umasikini bila kutegemea mfumo wa nchi za magharibi, ndio tutaweza kujadili swala la umasikini.
Other than that, President Brown and Obama won't help us to come out of this ditch.
Mchumi wa Texas
Izi noti richabo inaleta tabu. Blank pledge ndo sawa na empty promise? Sasa tunawang'ang'ania wazungu kuwaombaomba mboni tumeambiwa samaki wa meli ya Magufuli wanatosha bajeti yake ya mwaka? Au tumedanganywa? Tuingie kuvua samaki baharini badala ya kuombaomba.
ReplyDeleteDr. Shayo I always respect your michango, lakini naamini its high time wasomi kama nyinyi muanze kuwa waelewa wa hali halisi. Muache kuwa mnaangalia BBC, CNN, na kusoma the Economist na kuja hapa kutupa hizi UTOPIAN ideas! Mawazo yenu ni mazuri lakini mnayaaddress to the wrong persons.
ReplyDeleteYou people, hivi mpaka leo mnaamini kwamba muarobaini wa umasikini wetu utatoka ulaya na USA? You are ALL wrong! Muarobaini wa matatizo yetu uko humu humu kwenye vichwa vyetu Africa. Hata G-20 wangetoa hizo billions..haziwezi kutusaidia kitu kama viongozi wetu watazirudisha huko huko kwenye account zao ughaibuni. Hivi Tanzania..hela ambayo wamekula mafisadi..tukiijumlisha...si inazidi stimulus package akina Kikwete wanayoililia?
Hiyo Global crisis, we have NOTHING I repeat NOTHINg to do with it! Ni yale yale ya kufuata mkumbo. Tangu kitambo sisi tumekuwa masikini..hatuna mfumo wa mabenki ambao una direct relationship na developed world. Tuache ndoto za alinacha. Leo hata Kikwete ungempa $$500 Million kama stimulus package sijui kama ana business plan yoyote ile.
Tupigane na umasikini kwa kuinvest katika utawala bora, elimu ya watoto wetu, tupambane na ufisadi nk...haya ya Akina Brown na Obama ni nonsense tupu. You dont need to be an economist to know this!
Hatuhitaji G-20 by any means. wasomi kama nyinyi na the Mashaka`S OF THIS WORLD MNAOKUJA HAPA NA THEORIES ZENU..Mnatakiwa mpigie kelele utawala bora..viongozi wetu wawajibike. Full Stop.
Mpaka pale viongozi wa Africa watakapojua wajibu wao, waache kutawala nchi zao kama makampuni binafsi..hapo tutaanza kuongelea habari ya maendeleo..lakini kwa sasa hiyo trip ya Kikwete is another chance of going for shopping and having fun!
Implicit in your argument above,Shayo,are the following notables:that,it is time for the G20 countries to honour their "pledges" to Africa.Remember pledges are not "OBLIGATIONS!".They will assist when circumstances allow.But,so long as they are also in deep recession and facing a severe credit crunch,so much will depend on "own individual country's GENEROSITY".;that,the G20 should help African Countries achieve their Millenium Goals!remember,the last thing the G20 will ever do on earth is to help Africa industrialise!That would be tantamount to committing "economic suicide".The Best G20 can do is simply to keep Africa "afloat" so that you don't Africa completely!This is what I would also do if I were the G20,make no mistake about it!You also said about the G20 assisting Africa get out of Poverty!Whose primary responsibility is that,if I may dare ask you Shayo?You also expressed your fears on the possibility of growing protectionism and unequal exchange in international trade!How else would you expect it to be,Shayo,if you were the G20? In all sincerity,does Africa have One Voice on such issues?check me out!I trully share with you Shayo on these issues,BUT!Which Way Africa?As you expressed your doubts,whether,invited African Heads have any meaningfull CheckList of the Continent's Priorities and Concerns to be able to challenge the G20 Offers?Au wamekwenda pale London kila kitu ni "NDIYO MZEE!".-----tonnie----
ReplyDeletenimekuwa nikisoma maoni ya watu mara nyingi. wamekuwa wakiwapigia debe baadhi ya watu kwamba wawe viongozi wetu. lakini kama watu hao bado wana msimamo wa umatonya watatufikisha?
ReplyDeletejamani hawa jamaa wanatafuta jinsi ya kupata utajiri zaidi kutoka kwetu na sisi tunawaangalia kama miungu yetu ya kutuondolea hali yetu. hatutafika. amini usiamini hatuwezi kuendelea na sera zao.
Mchangiaji mmoja hapo juu amekwenda moja kwa moja kwenye point. Sidhani kabisa kwamba Umatonya unaweza kutuondoa kwenye umasikini... Tanzania tumepokea msaada mkubwa zaidi ya nchi yoyote ile africa mashariki. Lakini nini matokeo yake?
ReplyDeleteNikweli mpasuko wa fedha wa dunia utaleta matatizo nchini hasa kwenye sector ya utalii na kilimo cha mazao ya biashara. Kwani kuyumba kwa mfumo wa fedha kunawiana kabisa na biashara hizi.
Kama nilivyobainisha hapo hawali, hakuna risasi yoyote ya maajabu inayoweza kuondoa umasikini African. Mpaka sisi wenyewe tutakapo amua kuandaa approch yetu ambayo inalingana na mazingira na mchakato wetu, na sio approach ya IMF au WB ambayo imetengezwa Washington DC kwa nchi zote za Africa ikawa inabadilishwa heading kutoka Tanzania mpaka Zambia. Hapo tutaweza kupambana na umasikini....
MKUKUTA due date yake ni mwakani, JK and his buddies wamesema mpaka 2010 wataweza kupunguza umasikini mpaka nusu (7 Millioni). Kitu ambacho ni ndoto ya alinacha. Mpaka ma PhD wetu watakapo anza kuandaa economic approch zao ndio tutashinda umasikini. Lakini tukiendelea kutumia IMF/WB/Ndulu Benchmark hatuwezi kufika hata hatua kumi, umasikini utaendelea na kina Kibwana watazidi kujiuliza kwa nini samaki vibua hawauziki tena.
Kama alivyosema mchangiaji hapo juu huitaji kumaliza Texas A&M au Harvard Kujua kwamba hizi theory za Kina Ali Vershi haziwezi kufanya kazi Tanzania... Mpaka tutakapo amua kufukuza magavana na watu wote wenye DNA ya World Bank kwenye mfumo wetu, then tutaweza kuendelea.... Other than that sasa masikini wanaoishi chini ya 500 shilling kwa siku ni Million 14 sasa subiri mpaka 2025 kama namba haijakwenda kugonga 20Million...
Dr Shayo, nadhani ni muda wa kuancha kutazama sana theory za kwenye vitabu sababu in a real world hazifanyi kazi most of the time.....
Mchumi wa Texas
pole bwana shayo, unajua hizi nchi tajiri zinajua ni wapi pa kugusa. wanataka wazishawishi hizi nchi zikubali mikopo ya muda mrefu na hilo litaziumiza sana nchi maskini. hivyo hawa viongozi wanatakiwa waweke utaifa mbele
ReplyDeletepili wawe na agenda
mwaka huu shule
next infrastructure
next afya
next kujenga uwezo wa wakulima kuboresha kilimo
next kuelimisha watu kuhusu haki zao za kimsingi nk nk
sasa hivi ukiwauliza wanaagenda gani utakuta ni kama huyu mchangiaji wa hapo juu aliposema ndiyo mzee,
wakati umefika hawa viongozi wetu wawe ngangari na kulinda hoja na mahitaji yao
Kinachotakiwa ni investments, uongozi bora, ufisadi uwekwe kwenye list ya sawa na crimes kama za wauwaji if you ask me! Si ndio adui wa maendeleo au? Sio misaada kila kukicha
ReplyDeleteWasikieni na hawa hapa - http://www.taknet.or.tz/viewtopics.asp?topic_id=7&topic_status=0&discussions=%27list%27
Looooh! tutakoma mwaka huu na hawa kina joni mashaka. sijaelewa chochote kilichoandikwa hapo juu. mimi ni mswahili na wala siishi uingereza, lakini nategemewa kuelewa visivyoeleweka.
ReplyDeleteHuu umatonya hautatutoka mpaka siku waafrika watakapoacha kwenda kanisani na misikitini na kutafuta na kuugundua ukweli. Najua mpo mtakaosema "kuna uhusiano gani wa dini na maendeleo yetu". Uhusiano upo na kama huwezi kuuona uhusiano wake, basi kazi ipo.
ReplyDeleteMimi naungana mkono kabisa na anony..10:07 am na 12:06 PM. Dr. Shayo tatizo sio G20. Mimi nafikiri you guys are way tooooo academic and not realistic....Unasoma kitabu na unajaribu kutafsiri na matatizo yetu.
ReplyDeleteIssue ya nchi zetu sio misaada, ni "ukihiyo" kama mnambukuka. Mimi nahamini hela tunayo ila management, leadership na ethics ndo vimekosa.
Jiulize kwanini unaandika ukiwa UK na sio Tanzania? Kwasababu unaona kwenu hakuendeki, au elimu iliyopo sio bora. Kwa nini sio bora, kwasababu uongozi hauoni mbali.
Shayo, tusijadili G20 wafanye nini, tujadili ni jinsi ya kutatua matatizo yetu. Ni jinsi gani tutatuma ndizi za Moshi Ulaya, au kahawa za Bukoba Marekani au Pamba za Mwanza Asia. Kwanini vitu vyetu sio attractive.
Mkereketwa halisi
Anon wa March 17, 2009 10:07 Nakubaliana na wewe. Nilitaka kutoa 'oni' lakini tayari umefanya hivyo. Kwa kuongeza tu, tunahitaji Viboko Tanzania..
ReplyDeleteJiulize swali rahisi, kwa nini waTanzania waliojariwa makampuni binafsi wana nidhamu ya kazi kuliko walioajiriwa Serikalini? Ukipata jibu, basi Tanzania umaskini 'bye bye'
Waafrika tuache mawazo ya kuombaomba. Shayo inaelekea unataka uhakika kwamba tukitoa bakuli tutapewa. Acha hizo.
ReplyDeleteI agree with mchumi wa Texas and a couple of others with similar views.
ReplyDeleteIt is high time to stop looking for aid. The west wont solve our problems (they havent for the last half century). Do you really think its in their best interest for Africa to be as prosperous as them?
This naiviety is astounding espeacially coming from "educated" people.
The "I need help" mentality needs to stop. Thats why sometimes you see people with MBA's but are still fighting for their benefits and sick leave with HR and some people who barely graduated from high school are doing so well.
Its a Darwin's world. The fittest will survive and throw crumbs to the poor.
The only way Africa, and other third world countries for that matter, will get out of poverty is purely by having a vision, innovative mind, passion and heart to follow through. Thats when we can really say we are proud Africans. When we are really independent of any type of aid.
If in this century we are still trying to make the west "assure" us of aid, we are in DEEP trouble.
Mr. Shayo your contribution proves a notion that my father used to warn me that you can study a lot but end up unlearned ... unable to solve the challenges in your community.
ReplyDeleteIn our mother tongue we say, "Unaweza kusoma lakini usielimike"
I can't believe it that you are honestly rooting for G20 to uphold their pledges to African countries.
Didn't you hear Mr. Obama urging Americans to bootstrap themselves for the hard task lying ahead or reviving their economy?
So are we the lame ones who can't take it upon ourselves to run our economy?
Furthermore please bear in mind that the so called FINANCIAL CRISIS is mainly a problem of industrialized nations. There may be some effects on our part but trying to generalize that we are also as deep in trouble as the likes of USA and UK is simply jumping to conclusions.
I wonder people are so quick to point out A FEW CASES of companies such as GTV (which we know was depending directly on UK for financing) and the Swedish biofuel company as signals that we are also in trouble.
You know what? It's B.S. Why are the same people not pointing out companies that are doing well.
There are so many. The fact that we don't even see massive or abrupt lay offs is an indication that probably 99% of companies in Tanzania are doing well.
But I'll save you guys some trouble. There's an article I found today published on the TIMES magazine.
Read it here...
Africa - The Business Destination
ECOBANK which is headquartered in Togo has done exceptionally well when Wall Street banking are falling head over heals.
Now no one is mentioning such spectacular feats in the fevour to trot the G20-cum-IMF line that the sky is falling.
Wake up guys ... don't be brainwashed so easily that we are in a financial crisis.
Kepp doing what you have been doing if it's still working.
And if it's not working, THINK OUT OF THE BOX don't just jump onto the IMF-G20 bandwagon that the sky is falling.
I could go on and on, but I guess you get the point.
Yours truly,
Fredrick Mboma
Entrepreneur
Kaka Michuzi,
ReplyDeleteWadau wote waliochangia makala hii mpaka hivi sasa. Na kummuonyesha huyo ndugu Njau kuwa mambo hayaendi hivyo alivyoandika imenidhihirishia kuwa kumbe blog hii ya jamii inatembelewa na wasomi. Kuna wakati mwingine binafsi nilikuwa nakatishwa tamaa na wachangiaji wa mijadala walio na maneno ya kejeli tu wanakuwa utadhani wamepiga vibanda (safari lager). Lakini kumbe watu walio serious wapo humu. Ngoja nikae mkao wa kula nifaidi zaidi na blog ya jamii.
Kama bado tunategemea misaada kutoka Ulaya ili tuendelee hapa afrika sasa ni kwa nini tulidai uhuru??????Kwani masoko ya bidhaa zetu yako Ulaya tu???Hivi Misri ina mito mingapi na sisi tuna mingapi?Kwanini sisi hatuwezi kulima kwa kumwagilia japo tupate ugali wa kutosha mlo mara 3 kwa siku?Na je hawa wasomi wote wanafanya nini kuhusu kuikomboa nchi hii....?Mtegemea cha Ulaya hufa maskini...ohoo!
ReplyDeleteHivi inaeleweka lakini uwakilishi hapa ni wa nini au yapi?? G20 wanakutana, sioni ubaya wa the rest kama Tanzania kuwa nao na strategy zao na kupata Uwakilishi.
ReplyDeleteSikubaliani na kuomba misaada wakati tunalipua mabilioni ya shillingi kwenye EPA na hatujazichukua hizo pesa zetu wala kuwa na full proof system kuhakikisha never again. Hayo mno mno yananikera.
Tusiseme eti hii crisis haina athari Tanzania ai Africa. Huko ni kuonyesha kutoelewa somo. Athari zipo nyingii tuu. Tusisahau juu ya sekta kama za Kitalii zenye mchango wake nyumbani na indirect impact na athari za hii crisis kwa hii sekta na tunajua what that means. Nikiongea na washirika Nairobi au Arusha, wanasema Utalii umeshuka sana. Hawa sio omba omba au AID seekers. Tanzanite mmesoma zilivyofall kwenye kuuzika US na impact kwa almost 40,000 people kule Arusha! Wote hawa ni watu wetu na ni wachakarikaji.
Sasa, sijui ujumbe wa hizi nchi umepeleka strategy gani kuyaangalaia haya yote kwa misingi hiyo na sio mbaya ni right thing to do if you ask me.
Ila kuna mtu hapo juu kasema watu waache Uislamu, Ukristo - I guess anasema let us go back to the roots. Nakubaliana nae kabisa - sio la dinim hilo will leave kwa watu wenyewe, ila nakubaliana as figural speech na kuchukua somo. Lazima tuende kwenye basics na tujitegemee sio kwa hawa wajamaa kwa kuomba. Turudi tuangalia Uhuru ulidaiwa kwa kitu gani na tunapata nini? Awamu ya pili ni lazima to get us back to basics of what we ought to e fighting for.
Fanyeni zoezi hili. Tumieni hizo google currency converters muone katika yale mabillioni yaliobiwa, kwa yale mnayojua, convert them to US dollars au UK Pounds kwa rates za sasa and then compare with hizo pesa zinazoulizwa za misaada au aid au donations ! You will be shocked. Pesa kweli tunazo. Matatizo kweli tunayo. Uwezo kweli tunao. Watu weli tunao. Innovation na Uzalendo haupo. Kuna Ulafi na Wizi kwa Kiwango kikubwa mno na hii misaada inaendelea shibisha ubadhirifu na kidogo kinabakia goes to do something so that you been seen doing something.
La maana, watu tuache kulalamika. Think unaweza fanya nini and do it. Sio tunalalama tuu kila kukicha.
michuzi mie naomba kuuliza?
ReplyDeletembona shayo hawamfanyii usenene??
embu ona! hata kumpinga anapingwa kihoja! ila humu wakiona jina la mashaka....mnh???utayaona mabalale aka masenene yanavyoruka ruka..NZIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII..
Anonym 7:18pm of March 17,I would agree with most of what you have said BUT not on this one,viz,The reason why you have not seen mass layoffs in Tanzania is because most of the employees here are paid very low wages,infact peanuts!If workers were to be paid the Salaries they deserved based on qualifications,skills and experience the question of redundancies would have assumed an alarming proportion,may be worse than what you see in the Industrialised World!So,don't let that factor deceive your eyes into believing the unknowns!We are in real big trouble economically,if only you knew!Even if say Tanzania was capable of raising so much domestic tax revenue enough to finance the entire government annual budget,you'd still be faced with a problem of converting that local revenue into Foreign Exchange or International currency to be able to Import the basics and necessities which can not be produced by our own industries(as if we had some!)!Just fancy that!How could you run away from dependency under those circumstances?
ReplyDeleteSiasa ni kitu kigumu na asilimia 90 ya shida za watu husababishwa na imani za kisiasa. Mwanasiasa ni muongo. Akiwa mkweli atafeli siasa. IFM wanajidai si waongo nao ni waongo pia. Uongo njoo haditi njo utamu kolea. haya mambo ni common sense. Wajinga ndio waliwao.
ReplyDelete