Debate on economic Downturn versus public service delivering in a volatile market
The brutal force of the credit crunch and the global economic slowdown, on public, private and companies, government agencies and individuals does not seem to relent.
The intensity or the impact of the downturn has just started to emerge on some economies that seed to be immune when the whole fiasco started. Our monetary experts, economist and even law makers who normally jumps the ship of helping the poor seems clue less and mute on what to do, yet architecting their return following the 2010 elections are at the door.
The Tanzania economy now appears to have accepted that we are not an “island” and downturn will definitely hit our economy more than we are informed. Various sectors of our economy have started to feel the pinch and the ultimate sufferer is not the rich, but the ordinary tax payer.
Soon or later, we are going to witness falling output across most major sectors of the economy and no doubt rising unemployment.
The budget deficit will rise in the first half of 2010/11 and this will have huge impact on inflation, interest rates etc. With the current interest rates at unprecedented levels, one can only wonder what our bankers are thinking; when every nation around the globe is trying to reduce the rates, poor borrowers in Tanzania still, are forced to cough exuberant high rates. And sooner than later, due to the strain, many banks will be forced slash their Interest rates in order stimulate borrowing from the public
A key issue arising for both central and local governmental organisations that I would like readers of Jamii blog to debate and try to suggest solutions to is: what impact the downturn will have on the public sector and the delivery of public services to the poor Tanzanians? Will or should it sweep some of these dozer’s under the bridge?
The budget deficit will rise in the first half of 2010/11 and this will have huge impact on inflation, interest rates etc. With the current interest rates at unprecedented levels, one can only wonder what our bankers are thinking; when every nation around the globe is trying to reduce the rates, poor borrowers in Tanzania still, are forced to cough exuberant high rates. And sooner than later, due to the strain, many banks will be forced slash their Interest rates in order stimulate borrowing from the public
A key issue arising for both central and local governmental organisations that I would like readers of Jamii blog to debate and try to suggest solutions to is: what impact the downturn will have on the public sector and the delivery of public services to the poor Tanzanians? Will or should it sweep some of these dozer’s under the bridge?
To make this debate fruitful, contributors will need to scrutinize the critical challenges that will face local governmental organisations in delivering its services: Or explores how lessons from the private sector might be used to deliver change in the public sector.
While the heat of 2010 general elections starts to scorch from a distant, the same old stories of our public leaders elected to find solutions to some of our social problems, so will be the rhetoric from the same people who are contributing nothing to the current crisis, as most of them gear for another round of lucrative and comfy permanent dosing seats in Dodoma.
While we focus on how to incline the economic meltdown consequences, we are also requesting our readers to be realistic and suggest how to deal with these MP’s, who have nothing new to the people, yet planning to blackmail us in 2010 elections.
God Bless Tanzania
Good article! Readers and Tanzanians would have to be actively engaged in choosing their trusted MPs and not be fooled by some Politians who have, for many years,told the old same unfulfiled promises which they fully know they can't deliver. It's time to stop 'Mambo Jambo' and get down to real meaningful bussiness to serve their peoples' so that they get very basic everyday needs. If the readers sit back and do or say nothing, not choosing their Mps in whom they believe would deliver, millions of poor people would continue to suffer even harder.
ReplyDeleteOn the ecomonomic downturn: Those who squanders Public (Taxpayers) money should be held accountable for the inadequate Public Services delivery in their sectors, from the Central to Local government level. Realistic accounts auditing and workable policies should be the KEY in order to fully utilize the abundance of resources which the country has been blessed with. It's time to say 'enough is enough' in wasting taxpayers money.
Maseke
Thanks Dr.Shayo for your nice thesis,my dear educated Tanzania pepole i think its time now for us to have such debates,round tables,seminars e.t.c as an opportunity to discuss our really social problems impact us in this 21 century ,we must open our eyes and see both local and global challenges facing our country in general, and individual Tanzanian starting from mkulima in makambako,and ending kwa mlala hoi in uwanja wa fisi manzese.
ReplyDeleteAccording to Dr.Shayo's thesis as i know our country ,where more than half of budget are funds from donors, economic downturn will be big task for every Mtanzania even wazee wa EPA because things no longer at ease .....
Dr. Balilemwa
Unfortunately, it Tz it is the public sector which delivers services to the Government, not the Otherway as you pointed out my dear Dr.
ReplyDeletePamoja na kuwa nilikuwa na nia ya kuchangia mada lakini sijaelewa swali. Dr Shayo, au wadau wanaweza kufafanua "what impact the downturn will have on the public sector and the delivery of public services to the poor Tanzanians? Will or should it sweep some of these dozer’s under the bridge" inamaanisha nini? Niliposoma mara ya kwanza "public sector" niliwafikiria wafanyakazi wa hospitali zetu, mashule, polisi, mahakama, maafisa ugani na wafanyakazi wengine wa serikali. Lakini baada ya kufika sehemu ya "sweep some of these dozer's under the bridge" nikaona sikuelewa. Sidhani kama kuna anayetaka fagio la chuma liwapitie kina Mwalimu Mukoba nk. kwa sababu tu ya kranchi. Dictionary haikunisaidia maana merriam-webster's online dictionary iliniambia dozer ni 'bulldozer' ambalo waswahili tunaliita tingatinga. Inabidi uwe na fagio la kipekee kufagia tingatinga.
ReplyDeleteHi
ReplyDeleteThanks, but I have doubt that your article with be of any help to Tanzanians. I think this is a problem of many writers and commentors in Tanzania, instead of articulating issues and giving out their point of views on those issues, we keep on trading blames! Now what is your views on the issue you want us to discuss? Its a shame, you dont have any view, and what should we discuss then, if the discussant does not have any view to put forwards? Dear collegues, we must change, the world will not way for us.
thanks
john mashaka + dr shayo = hakuna
ReplyDeleteDo, Dr Shayo aksante sana kwa kurudi ulingoni. Ulikuwa umepotea kwa muda, ila hii mada ni nzito. Unajua bado tunapumbazwa kwa kuambiwa kuwa hatuadhirika na mpasuko wa kuanguka kwa uchumi, ila mchangiaji wa hapo juu ameonyesha ni kwa kiasi gani jamii nzima itaadhirika.
ReplyDeleteHii ndiyo maana tunataka vijana kama nyie mrudi nyumbani, kwani taifa linaloongozwa na Rais Jakaya linahitaji vijana kama nyie, na wale ambao bado hawajajitokeza.
Ipo kazi kweli kweli, mwaka 2010 itakuwa patashika. Vijana msikubali kudanganywa. Kataeni rushwa ya kupewa ili muwachague watu fulani. Chagueni vijana na watu wenye mawazo ya kulisaidia taifa
Hongera Dr shayo
Hongera Dr Shayo. Wakati umefika urudi nyumbani sasa, huu utaalamu unaumalizia tu huko marekani? Rudi Tanzania. Tunakuhitaji hata kuw katika sekta binafsi bado mchango wako utafaa tuuuuuuuu
ReplyDeleteIla chonde chonde usijikite kwenye siasa
Well, in the spirit of stimulating discussions i would like to obediently disagree. Tanzanians, me inclusive did/have not received any meaningful service from the Gov prior to the econ downturn and so this economic/credit crunch makes no tangible difference to me at the very least. However, gov officials need to tighten their expansive appetites, unnecessary travel costs, maybe even trim down the size of gov. I can barely keep up with whom is responsible for what! If half our budget is dependent on foreign aid as per earlier entry then we need to cut the size of gov by just as much. This may even cut the bureaucracy by half :) who knows.....
ReplyDeletePoint of education,
ReplyDeleteI think the topic should be presented as a DISCUSSION and not as a debate. When you talk of debate, I expect to see two vivid departing views on the topic presented. But, if it is open to be discussed towards any direction (more than two points of view), that is a Discussion.
Na hivi kama tungekuwa tunaweza kukaa mezani au ukumbini pampja, huu ungekuwa mjadala (discussion), na si malumbano (debate).
Mwisho, kama nyie ni wasomi wa kulenga kusaidia Watanzania, kwanini msitoe kwa lugha zote 2, yaani Kiswahili na Kiingereza. Ni nchi gani itakayoendelea kwa kujadiliana na wanaoweza Kiingereza peke yake? It will always lead to 'lopsided development' of individuals, so to speak.
Nawasilisha..
Mdau, USA
SHAYO TUMEKOSOMA JAMII FORUM,TUMEKUJUA,NAOMBA NA KULE JAMII FORUM KATOE MAELEKEZO.UKWELI NI UPI?
ReplyDeletesame o'l crap...
ReplyDeleteWabongo tumesoma sana.Tunaweza kujenga maghorofa yanayoelea hewani kwa maneno tu.Tangu haya malumbano kati ya Shayo na mashaka yaanze sijaona wala kusikia vitendo vyinafanyika bali maneno,insha za toka upande huu kwenda upande mwingine.Anyway,siwezi kuwalaumu tuna wizara ya miundo mbinu lakini bado tupo pale pale hatuendi mbele wala kusogea.
ReplyDeleteI don't see how we are going to be affected by the crunch. We have been neglected and forgotten since independence. Some are walking and working but you can consider them as dead recipeints of those public services you are talking about. Do not try to asscociate variables and conclude that there is a positive/negative correlation while there is none.Please use your judgement wisely, Great education without good judgement is like a good looking bottle with nothing inside.It is quiet clear to me that You have faailed to understand the real issues facing our country and its people Do not get confused with expected Global inflation and unemployment and Tanzania expected inflation and unemployment figures.These unemployemnt indicators if not well understood can increase the amount of foolishness in our PhD's economists' minds..
ReplyDeleteCheck this out,those who are employed have very poor wages and their survival depends on other kinds of creativities and not their salaries. So when you analyze expected unemployment figures in Tanzania do not use the same model that is used in UK or USA. You have to be very careful in drawing your conclusions or in making your projections, the model that is used to explain economic phenomenon in one country or geographic location can not be universalized simply because it is a great theory. You have to think outside the box and understand issues and problems before duplicating models and applying them universally. Tanzania is unique but that does not mean it is isolated from the global problems. Issue is how to analyze and to avoid the worst. We are already in the worst state even before the crunch and people are surviving. Please comparing apples to bananas is crazy. Not in the books, those who are muted are used to cram books. We need great thinkers and modern thinkers, people who cram theories are useless thinkers. I am a great thinker becuase I think I am and beacuse I think so Therefore I am. You are not because you are not.
mdau wa USA nakuunga mkono, hawa unaowaita wasomi kwanza wanabreak hiyo english, ni bora wangechangia kwa lugha yetu ya kujivunia. pili ni kwelitungetumia huu ukumbi kwa kujadili na siyo kubishana.nasisitiza, kama tu nyie wasomi kiingereza chenu ndo kina walakini hivi, mnafikiri waliochini yenu kielimu cha kwao kitakuwaje? matokeo yake watahofia kuchangia kabisa.
ReplyDeleteMdau UK.
nasubiri ushindi wa dola 1000
ReplyDeleteKATIKA TANZANIA HALI YA UCHUMI HAINA MAHUSIANO SANA NA SERIKALI KUU NA ZA MITAA KATIKA KUTOA HDUMA KWA WANANCHI, ZIMEJIKITA SANA KATIKA KUTOA HUDUMA KWA VIONGOZI WA JUU. HATUJAWAHI KUSIKIA KUWA SERIKALI HAINA MAGARI YA VIONGOZI HIVYO INASUBIRI MISAAADA TOKA NJE, LAKINI KUNUNUA GARI LA KUBEBA WAGONJWA AMBALO HUENDA HALIGHALIMU ZAIDI YA SHILINGI MILIONI MIA MOJA SERIKALI HAIKO TAYARI KUNUNUA ILA ITASUBIRI MSAADA WA WAFADHILI! HIVI SASA NASI TUMEJIINGIZA KATIKA MKUMBO WAMADAI YA KUPOROMOKA KWA FEDHA DUNIANI NA HILI LIMEKUJA BAADA YA KUWASIKIA WENZETU WAMAJUU WAKISEMA HIVYO, LAKINI TUJIULIZE I LINI SERIKALI YETU ILIWAHI KUSEMA KUWA HALI YA FEDHA NCHINI NI NZURI, HII HAIJATOKEA NA HAITA TOKEA. TUISHI TU KWAKUWA MWENYEZI MUNGU KATUUMBA. MIAKA YOTE SERIKALI IMEKUWA IKIDAIWA NA WATUMISHI WAKE WA CHINI SI KWA SABABU YA HALI YA FEDHA ILIKUWA IMETETEREKA BALI NI VIONGOZI KUTOONA SABABU ZA MSINGI ZA KUWAHUDUMIA WANANCHI.
ReplyDeleteKWANZA NAPENDA KUTOA PONGEZI KWA DAKITARI SHAYO KWA JINSI ALIVYOIWEKA MAADA KWA KIFUPI NA KUELEWEKA ANGEKUWA MAKURU NISINGE AMBUA KITU MAANA MAELEZO HUWA MAREFU MNO MPAKA NAPOTELEAGA NJIANI. SEHEMU NILIYOIPENDELEA KATIKA MAADA HII NI ILE INAYO ELEZEA MATANUZI YA WABUNGE KATIKA VITU VYA KUZUNGUKA BUNGENI NA WAZEE HAO KUPIGA LONGOLONGO MPAKA WARUDI TENA BUNGENI KUENDELEAZA LIBENEKE LA KUWA NYONYA WANAWANCHI KWA HAKI.MIMI BINAFSI MIKAKATI YA KUIKOMBOA NCHI KIUCHUMI NILISHA YA MALIZA KITAMBO MNO ILA HALI YA KIFIKRA YA WANANCHI INAONEKANA IMELALA FOFOFO NAONA BADO KUAMKA NASUBIRI LABDA KIZAZI CHA MIAKA YA 2035. PIA NIMEJIANDAA KUPAMBANA KUTOKULALA TENA BAADA YA KUWAAMMSHA WALIO LALALA. DR SHAYO NAOMBA KUTANGAZA RASMI NIKO PAMOJA NA WEWE KUWAAMSHA HAWA WATANZANIA TUHAKKIKISHE MAJERUHI WA HALI MBAYA YA UCHUMI WANAPATA MATIBABU BORA NA WAREHEMU WANAZIKWA MAZISHI YENYE HADHI NA TAAZIMA. NA WALIOTUINGIZA KWENYE JANGA HILI HAWAPATI NAFASI TENA. tgeofrey@gmail.coom OR TGEOFREY@YAHOO.COM
ReplyDeleteUnajua saa nyingine ni kama kichekesho unaposikia tukiambiwa kuwa hatutaadhirika na mtikisiko huu.
ReplyDelete% kubwa ya ongezeko la kuchangia budget ya serikali ni kutoka kwa wahisani
leo moto unawaka majumbani kwao,jamani kweli watangalia kuisaidia tanzania bila kuweka mambo sawa kwako?
Kule UK wametangaza kuwa graduate waliowengi wanaomaliza chuo 2009/2010 hawatapata ajira, kwa sababu hiyo hiyo ya hali ya kuamnguka kwa uchumi
Wasomi wao wanakwenda India kujitafutia riziki, kwa vile huko ndiko soko la uzalishaji linakuwa
Sisi tanzania, tunajadili kuongeza posho za wabunge wakati mashule na mahospitali hasa ya VIJIJINI hayana vifaa muhimu.
Waziri mkuu alipokuwa UK siku za nyuma pale ubalozini alisema serikali itasitisha kununua mashangingi ya serikali, ila cha kushangaza wote tunajua na tumesoma mkakati wa serikali kununua magari mapya kwa wtendaji wake
Tatizo hapa ni kuwa tunataka wabunge ambao wako tayari kuweka mtizamo wao open tujue ni nani anaubunifu wa kuwasaidia watanzania
ajmani tusipoamka na kuanza kufikiria ni kwa kiasi gani tunatakiwa kuwa wabunifu, tutaendelea kuwa masikini.
Mjadala aliouanzisha dr shayo ni changamoto kwa sisi sote
Empty words. This is getting real boring. If Dr. Shayo wanna help Tanzania move forward, he should quit his $30,000 job and move back to Tanzania. Just because majority of Tanzanians have no tertiary education, it doesn't mean that we are stupid. There is so much rhetoric here and Tanzania is still one of the poorest nation on earth last time I checked. So, who exactly is Dr. Shayo trying to impress?? I am getting really sick and tired of reading useless crap here from our so-called educated Tanzanians. When I visit this site after a hard day of work, i wanna have fun and see some preety women, not some stupid article which doesn't do anything to solve our chronic lack of progress.
ReplyDeletePS..Wasiofahamu Kiingereza, nendeni shule. Mmetoroka shule sasa mko arosto.
Dr.SHAYO for your information!!
ReplyDeleteI WAS BORN AND RAISED IN A CREDIT CRUNCH FAMILY! I ATTENDED CREDIT CRUNCH SCHOOL WHERE I HAD TO BRING KIGODA WITH ME FROM HOME TO SCHOOL. FOR ME IT'S JUST ANOTHER DAY IN MY LIFE.
WHETHER IT HITS THE COUNTRY OR NOT I DONT CARE I AM RUNNING A SELLER'S MARKET VENTURE.THERE NO GENUINE PEOPLE TO LOOK AFTER THIS COUNTRY.PEOPLE MOVE IN POLITICS(MORDEN CAREER) SIMPLY TO SERVE THEMSELVES AND NOT THE PUBLIC.
HAWA WASOMI WA NJE WAKAE HUKO HUKO,WATATUZIDISHIA UMASIKINI KWANI WATAKUJA NA MBINU MPYA ZA UFISADI NA UKIZINGATIA MA AUDITORS WETU HAWANA TECHNOLOGICAL EXPOSURE!
NINI KIWASIBISHO WANYUMBANI JUU YA WASOMI WALIO NJE. NYUMBANI HUWEZI KUWA NA WASOMI WALIMU WALEWALE NOTES ZA MIAKA YA SABINI BADAYA KUSISIKIA MAJINA YA MASOMO UTASIKIA MAJINA YAO KAMA MAYO, NYAORO,LEMA,CHAMBEGA,MGONGO,MSHIMBA,OSORO.KITINYE. UKIFAULU KULIWA WANAKUARIBIA GPA YAKO ILI RECORD ZAO ZA MIAKA YA 70 ZISIVUNJWE. UKIFIKIRIA SASA TUKO KWENYE MTUFE WA UVUMBUZI,UZINDUZI NA UUMBAJI WA MABADILIKO JUMLA KWA VIZAZI VIJAVYO. WE KAA MIKAO YA KULA.
ReplyDeletemichuzi pongezi kwa kazi nzuli unayofanya mungu akutangulie katika kila jambo mchango wangu kuhusu dr shayo kwanini wanapenda sana kutoa mada kwa lugha moja tu ?watanzania wengi wanaongea kiswahili sasa kama wanania ya kuamsha kila mtanzania watumie kiswahili pia huu ni ulimbukeni wa hali ya juu kuongea english sio kuelimika amkeni jamani
ReplyDeleteDr shayo, unayosema ni ya kweli, unajua mtikisiko huu utaifanya serikali kushindwa kuongeza mishahara ya wafanyikazi wake, kazi kweli kweli
ReplyDeleteUshauri, wangu Mhe. Membe mtafuta Dr shayo na Mashaka watakusaidia kama unania kweli ya kuwania urais mwaka 2015
Ushauri wa bure!